Procter & Gamble Company (The) (PG) Stock Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products · $340B · $146.39 · scored 2026-09-21

37 Gem Score / 100
Consensus
3/11 strategies agree
Best-fit thesis
Low-Vol Defensive
Market regime
Bearish
Verdict
Low conviction
Modeled win probability38%
Estimated edge+2.2%

Directional estimate from the GemStox stochastic + volatility models. Not financial advice.

Strategy-class scores

GemStox scores PG across 13 independent investment-thesis classes. The meta score is the consensus of the strongest signals.

Strategy classScore /100What it tests
Deep Value
20
Graham–Dodd–Buffett–Piotroski value
GARP
33
Growth at a Reasonable Price
Momentum
34
Trend-following momentum
Mean Reversion
48
Oversold bounce
Quality Compounder
70
Wide-moat compounder
CAN SLIM
22
O'Neil IBD system
Low-Vol Defensive best fit
86
Low-volatility defensive
Catalyst / Event
31
Filing + news + earnings catalyst
Dividend Growth
26
Dividend-growth safety
S-Curve Growth
41
S-curve lifecycle growth
Piotroski F-Score
78
Piotroski 9-point F-Score
Operating Leverage
25
Operating leverage
Net Payout Yield
40
Net cash payout yield

Valuation

What the price is paying for — earnings yield, FCF yield, P/B, PEG, and Graham discount.

Price / Book
0
weak · Deep Value
Graham-number discount
0
weak · Deep Value
Earnings yield
20
weak · Deep Value
Free-cash-flow yield
36
weak · Deep Value
PEG (growth-adjusted)
1
weak · GARP
Price-to-sales / growth
44
neutral · GARP
Forward vs trailing P/E
75
strong · GARP
Cash-cow yield (Chowder)
20
weak · Dividend Growth

Quality

Earnings power and durability — ROE, margins, FCF quality, balance-sheet safety.

Return on equity
93
strong · Quality Compounder
Gross margin
80
strong · Quality Compounder
Free-cash-flow quality
55
solid · Quality Compounder
Debt vs free cash flow
70
solid · Quality Compounder
Institutional holding
100
strong · CAN SLIM
Earnings consistency
25
weak · CAN SLIM
Balance-sheet safety
30
weak · Dividend Growth
Piotroski F-Score
7
7/9 — broadly improving fundamentals · Piotroski F-Score

Risk

How it can lose — beta, volatility, drawdowns, downside profile, and financial stability.

Financial stability (Altman Z)
50
neutral · Deep Value
Beta (market sensitivity)
85
strong · Low-Vol Defensive
Drawdown resilience
85
strong · Low-Vol Defensive
Volatility control
85
strong · Low-Vol Defensive
Downside-adjusted return
85
strong · Low-Vol Defensive
Dividend safety cushion
100
strong · Low-Vol Defensive

Growth

Where it's going — revenue and EPS trends, surprises, and new-inflection signals.

Revenue growth
54
neutral · GARP
Earnings surprise
18
weak · GARP
Current EPS trend
0
weak · CAN SLIM
Annual EPS trend
0
weak · CAN SLIM
New highs / inflection
25
weak · CAN SLIM
Dividend-growth streak
10
weak · Dividend Growth
S-curve trajectory
42
neutral · S-Curve Growth
Growth persistence
30
weak · S-Curve Growth
Scale of growth
100
strong · S-Curve Growth
Growth divergence
50
neutral · S-Curve Growth

Momentum & Technicals

Price action — trend, relative strength, RSI, and catalysts.

RSI (14)
85
overbought · Mean Reversion
Bollinger %B
20
weak · Mean Reversion
Distance to 200-day MA
65
solid · Mean Reversion
Exhaustion
40
neutral · Mean Reversion
Short squeeze
15
weak · Mean Reversion
Supply / demand
50
neutral · CAN SLIM
Relative strength rating
10
weak · CAN SLIM
Market breadth
15
weak · CAN SLIM
Filing catalyst
25
weak · Catalyst / Event
Earnings proximity
50
neutral · Catalyst / Event
Price catalyst
25
weak · Catalyst / Event
Volume catalyst
25
weak · Catalyst / Event
Yield quality
10
weak · Dividend Growth
Operating-leverage ratio
0
weak · Operating Leverage
Net payout value
3
weak · Net Payout Yield

How this score is computed

Each of the 14 strategy classes is a pure function of the same market + fundamentals data — no two theses double-count. Procter & Gamble Company (The) currently fits the Low-Vol Defensive thesis best, with 3/11 of 11 classes producing a positive read. Read the full scoring methodology, or try the free Stock Score calculator to see the math on any ticker.

See all 14 live signals for PG

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Educational analysis generated from cached market + fundamentals data as of 2026-09-21. Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.