Citigroup, Inc. (C) Stock Analysis

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified · $224B · $133.57 · scored 2026-08-03

58 Gem Score / 100
Consensus
5/11 strategies agree
Best-fit thesis
Operating Leverage
Market regime
Bullish
Verdict
Moderate conviction
Modeled win probability48%
Estimated edge+6.5%

Directional estimate from the GemStox stochastic + volatility models. Not financial advice.

Strategy-class scores

GemStox scores C across 11 independent investment-thesis classes. The meta score is the consensus of the strongest signals.

Strategy classScore /100What it tests
GARP
91
Growth at a Reasonable Price
Mean Reversion
24
Oversold bounce
Quality Compounder
58
Wide-moat compounder
CAN SLIM
73
O'Neil IBD system
Low-Vol Defensive
28
Low-volatility defensive
Catalyst / Event
36
Filing + news + earnings catalyst
Dividend Growth
22
Dividend-growth safety
S-Curve Growth
62
S-curve lifecycle growth
Piotroski F-Score
44
Piotroski 9-point F-Score
Operating Leverage best fit
100
Operating leverage
Net Payout Yield
40
Net cash payout yield

Valuation

What the price is paying for — earnings yield, FCF yield, P/B, PEG, and Graham discount.

PEG (growth-adjusted)
79
strong · GARP
Price-to-sales / growth
100
strong · GARP
Forward vs trailing P/E
100
strong · GARP
Cash-cow yield (Chowder)
20
weak · Dividend Growth

Quality

Earnings power and durability — ROE, margins, FCF quality, balance-sheet safety.

Return on equity
62
solid · Quality Compounder
Gross margin
50
neutral · Quality Compounder
Free-cash-flow quality
50
neutral · Quality Compounder
Debt vs free cash flow
50
neutral · Quality Compounder
Institutional holding
100
strong · CAN SLIM
Earnings consistency
100
strong · CAN SLIM
Balance-sheet safety
30
weak · Dividend Growth
Piotroski F-Score
4
4/9 — deteriorating fundamentals · Piotroski F-Score

Risk

How it can lose — beta, volatility, drawdowns, downside profile, and financial stability.

Beta (market sensitivity)
10
weak · Low-Vol Defensive
Drawdown resilience
5
weak · Low-Vol Defensive
Volatility control
30
weak · Low-Vol Defensive
Downside-adjusted return
75
strong · Low-Vol Defensive
Dividend safety cushion
65
solid · Low-Vol Defensive

Growth

Where it's going — revenue and EPS trends, surprises, and new-inflection signals.

Revenue growth
86
strong · GARP
Earnings surprise
100
strong · GARP
Current EPS trend
80
strong · CAN SLIM
Annual EPS trend
84
strong · CAN SLIM
New highs / inflection
25
weak · CAN SLIM
Dividend-growth streak
10
weak · Dividend Growth
S-curve trajectory
93
strong · S-Curve Growth
Growth persistence
30
weak · S-Curve Growth
Scale of growth
100
strong · S-Curve Growth
Growth divergence
50
neutral · S-Curve Growth

Momentum & Technicals

Price action — trend, relative strength, RSI, and catalysts.

RSI (14)
35
oversold · Mean Reversion
Bollinger %B
40
neutral · Mean Reversion
Distance to 200-day MA
5
weak · Mean Reversion
Exhaustion
20
weak · Mean Reversion
Short squeeze
15
weak · Mean Reversion
Supply / demand
25
weak · CAN SLIM
Relative strength rating
70
solid · CAN SLIM
Market breadth
100
strong · CAN SLIM
Filing catalyst
25
weak · Catalyst / Event
Earnings proximity
50
neutral · Catalyst / Event
Price catalyst
45
neutral · Catalyst / Event
Volume catalyst
25
weak · Catalyst / Event
Yield quality
10
weak · Dividend Growth
Operating-leverage ratio
4
weak · Operating Leverage
Net payout value
2
weak · Net Payout Yield

How this score is computed

Each of the 14 strategy classes is a pure function of the same market + fundamentals data — no two theses double-count. Citigroup, Inc. currently fits the Operating Leverage thesis best, with 5/11 of 11 classes producing a positive read. Read the full scoring methodology, or try the free Stock Score calculator to see the math on any ticker.

See all 14 live signals for C

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Educational analysis generated from cached market + fundamentals data as of 2026-08-03. Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.